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The Official Blog of Max Effgen

That's How I Rollerboard…

The Official Blog of Max Effgen

Fixing the World’s Largest Machine

Max Effgen, September 8, 2025

The North American Power Grid in the Age of AI and Cloud Computing

What is the world’s biggest machine—and how we can fix it? You are connected to this machine every day. With a simple flick of a finger, we tap into its immense power, and we only truly notice its presence when it falters. This machine is the North American power grid, the 20th century’s greatest engineering marvel. It powers everything from our smartphones and computers to the life-sustaining breathing machines in intensive care units. It is an astonishing resource that underpins modern civilization, yet it is showing signs of strain that demand urgent attention.

The power grid is not a monolithic entity owned by a single corporation or government. Instead, it is a vast, complex network operated by approximately 1,800 utilities and agencies across North America. This decentralized structure allows for remarkable coordination but also introduces vulnerabilities. The grid has earned its world-class status through decades of innovation, delivering electricity efficiently to millions. However, it is not impervious to threats. Extreme weather events, terrorism—both cyber and physical—and aging infrastructure pose existential risks. Compounding these challenges is the explosive growth in energy demand driven by the rise of cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI). As data centers proliferate to support AI training and cloud services, the grid’s foundational principles are being tested like never before.

At its core, the grid operates on a simple yet intricate principle: size equals efficiency. Historically, this has meant relying on a small number of massive power plants—coal-fired behemoths, nuclear reactors, and natural gas facilities—connected by extensive transmission lines that span thousands of miles. These large-scale plants generate low-cost electricity in bulk, which is then distributed to meet regional needs. But this model, optimized for the industrial era, is increasingly outdated. Consider some key facts about how the grid functions:

1. Supply and demand must be matched in real time, second by second, to prevent imbalances that could cascade into blackouts.

2. Demand typically draws from the nearest available supply to minimize transmission losses and costs.

3. The entire system must remain in delicate balance; even minor disruptions can ripple across the network.

4. Individual utilities bear the primary responsibility for maintaining this equilibrium, often through regional operators like those in the Eastern or Western Interconnections.

These principles have served us well for generations, but the grid’s centralized design amplifies its weaknesses. Extreme weather has repeatedly exposed these flaws. Hurricane Sandy in 2012 was a stark reminder: the storm affected 10 million people across 17 states and parts of Canada, leaving millions without power for up to two weeks. Basic services ground to a halt, with gas lines snaking up and down the East Coast as society grappled with the absence of electricity. This was far from an isolated incident. The 2003 Northeast blackout, which plunged 50 million people into darkness and cost billions in economic losses, was eerily predicted two decades earlier in reports warning of the grid’s fragility. As climate change intensifies, such events are becoming more frequent and severe—think of the 2021 Texas winter storm that killed hundreds and exposed the grid’s inability to cope with prolonged cold snaps. The centralized model, with its long transmission lines vulnerable to downed poles and flooded substations, simply cannot keep pace.

Terrorism adds another layer of peril. The grid is a prime target for both digital and physical attacks. In recent years, cybersecurity threats have surged; for instance, there were at least 13 reported cyber-attacks on North American utilities in 2024 alone, according to industry reports. These intrusions can manipulate control systems, falsify data, or shut down operations remotely. Physical threats are equally alarming. The 2013 sniper attack on PG&E’s Metcalf substation in California demonstrated how a small group could inflict massive damage with rifles, nearly causing a regional blackout. Such incidents underscore the grid’s exposure: key substations and transformers are often in remote locations with minimal security, and replacing damaged high-voltage equipment can take months or years.

Aging infrastructure compounds these issues, demanding hundreds of billions in upgrades. Utilities like Puget Sound Energy (PSE) have proposed spending up to $300 million on just 18 miles of high-voltage lines in Washington’s Eastside region—a microcosm of the nationwide crisis. Across the U.S. and Canada, transmission lines dating back to the mid-20th century are corroding, and transformers are operating beyond their design life. The cost to modernize is staggering, estimated by the American Society of Civil Engineers at over $2 trillion by 2030. Yet, implementation faces a universal hurdle: NIMBYism—not in my backyard. No community wants towering high-voltage lines or new substations disrupting their landscapes or property values. This resistance delays projects and escalates costs, leaving the grid brittle.

Now, overlay the unprecedented energy demands from cloud computing and AI, and the picture grows even more urgent. The explosion of data centers to power AI models and cloud services has transformed electricity consumption patterns. In 2025, U.S. data center energy use alone is projected to reach 536 terawatt-hours (TWh), equivalent to the annual consumption of about 50 million U.S. households, with global figures estimated at around 800 TWh. North America, particularly the U.S., accounts for nearly half of the worldwide total, driven by the concentration of hyperscale facilities. AI training for models like large language systems requires immense computational power; a single training run for an advanced system can consume as much electricity as 100 U.S. households use in a year. Cloud providers such as Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud are racing to build these facilities, often in regions with relatively cheap and reliable power, but this surge is straining local grids. For instance, in Virginia’s “Data Center Alley,” demand has more than doubled in recent years, compelling utilities to fast-track new generation and transmission projects. AI’s growth shows no signs of abating; according to the International Energy Agency, global data center electricity demand is projected to more than double by 2030 to around 945 TWh, with AI accounting for 200-400 TWh of that increase—potentially representing 3-4% of total global electricity consumption. Other forecasts are even more stark: ABI Research predicts global consumption could hit 1,479 TWh by 2030, while Goldman Sachs anticipates a 165% rise in data center power demand from 2023 levels. This isn’t merely about raw power—it’s about unwavering reliability. AI operations cannot tolerate interruptions; even momentary outages can corrupt vast datasets or disrupt services for millions, amplifying the grid’s real-time balancing challenges amid these always-on, voracious loads alongside traditional residential and industrial demands.

So, how do we fix this behemoth? The key lies in recognizing the grid as a network with profound network effects—much like the internet or social media, where decentralized nodes create resilience through distribution. The old paradigm of size equaling efficiency is being upended. Small-scale power plants and distributed energy resources are now rivaling the efficiency of massive, centralized facilities, thanks to advances in technology like high-efficiency solar panels, compact gas turbines, and modular nuclear reactors. We’ve witnessed this revolution before: the personal computer democratized computing, displacing hulking mainframes; smartphones have since upended the PC era by putting immense power in our pockets. Similarly, generating electricity at the point of consumption—through rooftop solar, home batteries, microgrids, and even vehicle-to-grid systems—can fortify the grid against its vulnerabilities.

Distributed power addresses extreme weather by localizing generation; if a hurricane knocks out distant transmission, on-site renewables and storage keep critical loads humming. Against terrorism, a decentralized network is harder to cripple—a single substation attack won’t topple the whole system. For aging infrastructure, it reduces the need for costly, contentious upgrades to long-haul lines; instead, we invest in smart, localized tech. And for the AI and cloud boom, distributed generation can be sited near data centers, minimizing transmission losses and enabling rapid scaling. Imagine AI facilities with integrated solar farms and battery backups, feeding power directly into servers without taxing the broader grid. This approach not only mitigates the projected 165% surge in demand but also aligns with sustainability goals, as many data centers pledge carbon-neutral operations.

Utilities are divided: some resist this shift, clinging to regulated monopolies, while others embrace it through pilot programs like California’s community solar initiatives or Texas’s distributed natural gas networks. But the tide is turning; regulatory pressures, consumer demand for green energy, and economic incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act are accelerating adoption. For the first time in a century—since the grid’s inception in the early 1900s—you, the consumer, will have genuine choice. Just as you select a hybrid vehicle for efficiency or organic produce for sustainability, you’ll opt for clean, reliable power sources integrated into your home or business. Solar panels on your roof could power your AI-enabled smart home, with excess fed back to the grid or nearby data centers. This democratization fixes the machine by making it stronger, more adaptive, and inclusive.

In conclusion, the North American power grid remains an engineering triumph, but its survival hinges on evolution. By embracing distributed generation, we can weather storms, thwart threats, modernize without bankrupting ourselves, and accommodate the insatiable hunger of AI and cloud computing. The winners and fixers of the world’s largest machine will be pioneering technologies that bring efficient, point-of-use power to the forefront, empowering individuals and communities to repair the world’s largest machine. Together, we can ensure it powers not just our present, but a thriving, intelligent future.

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Max Effgen

Max Effgen

Builds and grows technology companies as an entrepreneur and angel investor backing early-stage companies in AI, health and wellness, ultra-low power radio, and enterprise software. Snowboarding, baseball, swimming, running, coaching, photography, backpacking and skyscraper stair climbs happen off the clock. Also, I am a SABR Contributor, live in Seattle and from Chicago.

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